A recent analysis conducted by the University of Wyoming delves into the impact of federal economic incentives on the development of large-scale blue hydrogen production technologies. Led by Haibo Zhai, the study explores the long-term expenses associated with evolving hydrogen production pathways and their relationship with current tax credits. Published in Nature Communications, the research, titled 'Technological Evolution of Large-Scale Blue Hydrogen Production Toward the U.S. Hydrogen Energy Earthshot,' underscores the importance of initiatives like the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Earthshots Initiative, which aims to cut hydrogen production costs by 80% to $1 per kilogram in a decade. The study, spearheaded by Wanying Wu, highlights the potential of blue hydrogen derived from fossil fuels with carbon sequestration to drive down production costs, reduce emissions significantly, and create new economic opportunities. It emphasizes the critical role of tax incentives and infrastructure funding in achieving these goals. By applying experience curves, the researchers predict that as large-scale blue hydrogen projects become more widespread and advanced, they will become more efficient and affordable. Zhai points out that while experience is crucial in driving cost efficiency, additional factors like tax credits, natural gas prices, inflation rates, and carbon capture uncertainties also play pivotal roles. The study suggests that with an adequate cumulative production capacity, gas-based blue hydrogen could hit the DOE's target cost. Despite uncertainties, the experience gained from deploying blue hydrogen projects is expected to contribute to lowering future production costs and maintaining competitiveness. Moreover, by extending tax incentives for carbon sequestration, further reductions in costs are anticipated, positioning blue hydrogen as a promising clean energy solution for the future.