India's Power Sector Growth Fueled by Renewables and Emerging Technologies
Key Ideas
  • Nomura projects a robust growth rate of over 7% in India's power sector demand from FY24 to FY27, driven by economic activity, electrification, and emerging demand from data centers, EV charging, and green hydrogen production.
  • Renewables are forecasted to supply 35% of India's electricity by FY25, with solar and wind energy expected to meet 75% of incremental power demand, aligning with the nation's target of 500 GW renewable energy capacity by 2030.
  • Key themes shaping India's power demand include data centres, EVs, and green hydrogen production, with significant investments in power transmission infrastructure to support the growing demand and renewable energy goals.
  • India's energy transformation is poised to continue beyond FY30, with projections of renewable energy contributing 49% to the nation's electricity by 2040, supported by technological advancements and decreasing costs in solar installations.
Nomura has projected strong growth for India's power sector, attributing it to accelerating economic activity, greater electrification, and emerging demand from sectors like data centers, electric vehicle (EV) charging, and green hydrogen production. The surge in electricity demand is expected to have a compound annual growth rate of over 7% from FY24 to FY27. India's focus on renewable energy adoption is evident, with renewables estimated to supply 35% of the country's electricity by FY25, primarily driven by solar and wind energy. The nation aims to achieve 500 GW of renewable energy capacity by 2030 as part of its net-zero emissions goal for 2070. Data centers, EVs, and green hydrogen are identified as key drivers of future power demand, with significant investments planned in power transmission infrastructure. India's power landscape is set to evolve, with renewable energy projected to contribute 49% of electricity generation by 2040, supported by advancements in battery storage and decreasing costs of solar installations.
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