Waaree Energies: Nuvama Forecasts 25% Upside with Long-Term Focus on New Energy
Key Ideas
  • Nuvama Institutional Equities recommends a 'buy' for Waaree Energies with a target price of ₹2,805 per share, projecting a 54% EBITDA CAGR.
  • Waaree Energies is strategically focusing on new energy, including green hydrogen, advanced technologies, and capacity expansion for exponential growth.
  • Nuvama likens India's New Energy sector to the Y2K-like technology boom, foreseeing a significant potential for green hydrogen and global leadership in green ammonia.
  • The brokerage expects Waaree's EBITDA to grow at 54% annually till FY27E, driven by capacity expansion, backward integration, and government support, with a target of ₹3,844/share in a high-growth scenario.
Nuvama Institutional Equities has initiated coverage on Waaree Energies, a company focused on new energy, with a 'buy' recommendation and a target price of ₹2,805 per share, signaling a 25% upside. The company's long-term strategy aims at becoming a vertically and horizontally integrated New Energy player, expanding into green hydrogen, electrolysers, li-ion cells, inverters, and BESS to drive exponential growth. The brokerage sees India's New Energy sector as a significant opportunity akin to the Y2K technology boom, projecting immense growth potential in green hydrogen and green ammonia. Nuvama forecasts an EBITDA CAGR of 54% till FY27E for Waaree Energies, driven by capacity expansion, backward integration, and government support through ALMM and DCR mandates. The brokerage predicts a surge in EBITDA margin to 23% by FY27E, with a peak at 24% by FY28E. Nuvama highlights potential risks such as import tariff cuts and technological upgrades, but remains optimistic about Waaree's growth trajectory. The brokerage's target price varies based on the CAGR scenario, with a target of ₹3,844/share in a high-growth situation. Overall, Nuvama's positive outlook on Waaree Energies reflects strong potential for growth and market leadership in the renewable energy and green hydrogen sectors.
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